Phillip Braun

I am a clinical professor and associate chair of the finance department at Kellogg School of Management at Northwestern University. I write and specialize in the study of financial markets and emerging market economies. I frequently discuss trade wars, tariffs and corporate

SOCIAL
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261 viewsAug 9, 2023

Confusion Clouds Forecasts For The Economy

While economic forecasting is always challenging, predictions have become even more baffling given the unique factors at play.

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11,283 viewsMay 3, 2023

A Recession Is Coming—And Here’s How We Know

My economic analysis leads me to believe the U.S. economy will go into recession, possibly as soon as the third quarter of this year, but more likely slightly later.

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5,797 viewsAug 19, 2022

The New 1% Tax On Share Buybacks Will Not Have Intended Consequence Of Changing Corporate Behavior

The new 1% tax on corporate share buybacks may be beneficial to the U.S. Treasury, but it will reduce economic value to companies and shareholders.

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5,461 viewsMar 31, 2022

How The Russia-Ukraine War Has Compounded The Global Food Crisis

The Russia-Ukraine war is already causing food crisis around the world.

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18,689 viewsMar 22, 2022

Why Stagflation Is Not A Concern, But There Are Other Things To Worry About

Although there are different rationales for the causes of stagflations, my perspective is that the primary cause is poor monetary policy by the Federal Reserve when the Fed does not adequately account for how inflation and the real economy respond to changes in its policies.